+90 XP

Budget negotiation: foundations & core concepts

Ask five people in the same company what the marketing budget contains and you will get five different lists. The CFO means one line in the operating expense schedule. The brand director means media plus production. The performance lead means whatever can be spent this quarter and traced to a conversion. Sales assumes its trade allowances are in there. Someone in IT is quietly paying for the customer data platform out of a technology line that marketing never sees. Before you can negotiate a budget, you and the people across the table have to agree on what the object is: what sits inside it, how its size gets decided, and who controls each line. That is the work of this lesson. The mechanics of building the number, the calls about what to kill, and a full case of a forced cut come later in the module.


What a marketing budget is

A marketing budget is the money a company commits, normally for one fiscal year, to creating and capturing demand: reaching buyers, persuading them, and measuring whether any of it worked. Two properties separate it from almost every other budget a company sets.

The first is that it is discretionary in a way payroll and rent are not. Stopping media spend on a Tuesday breaks nothing operationally. That is exactly why it is the first line any cost programme opens, and why the defence of it is a permanent job rather than an annual one.

The second is that the return arrives later than the period that pays for it. Some of it arrives much later. A price promotion converts inside a week; a brand campaign shows up in pricing power and conversion rates over years. The budget is therefore a mix of instruments with different maturities, summed into one number, then argued about as if it were one thing.


Sub-concept 1: the four things inside the number

Working media is money that reaches a buyer: the impression, the placement, the sponsorship fee, the retail media slot. Non-working is everything spent to make that possible without reaching anyone: production, agency retainers and fees, research, translation, legal clearance, photography.

The ratio between them is one of the few structural facts about a budget that a CFO can grasp in one sentence, and it is why the split matters politically as well as operationally. Coca-Cola made this an explicit management goal after its 2020 reorganisation, saying it wanted a higher share of its marketing money to end up as working media rather than production and agency overhead, and consolidating its agency arrangements to get there.

The third component is people: the marketing payroll. In many companies this sits outside the "marketing budget" entirely, in a headcount line the CMO influences but does not own. Ignore that boundary and you will find you have negotiated hard for media while a hiring freeze quietly removes the team that would have run it.

The fourth is technology and data: martech licences, CDP, analytics, measurement partners, data purchases. This has grown from a rounding error to a serious share of the total, and it is frequently co-owned with IT, which means it can be cut by someone who does not report to you.

Then there is the contested category: trade and promotional spend. Listing fees, retailer funding, discounts, distributor support. In consumer goods these often sit as deductions from gross revenue rather than as marketing operating expense, controlled by sales. Coca-Cola's system complicates this further, because the company and its independent bottlers both fund marketing in the same markets. Part of the money that reaches the consumer is not on the parent company's line at all. Whether trade spend belongs to you determines whether you are negotiating over a fifth of the true commercial investment or most of it.


Sub-concept 2: who owns each line

The organisational map matters more than the total. Four ownership patterns cover most companies.

Central brand teams typically hold brand campaign production, sponsorships and global media deals. Local markets hold activation, local media and retail support, and will defend it as the money that hits their number this quarter. Sales holds trade. Finance holds the contingency, the unspent reserve that appears in November when someone needs it.

The instructive case is Inditex, owner of Zara, which for most of its history spent close to nothing on advertising: on the order of 0.3% of net sales, against retail norms many times that. It did not spend less on marketing. It moved the money to a line called store property. Prime locations on Calle Serrano, Fifth Avenue and Oxford Street do the work an ad budget does elsewhere, and that spend is owned by the property and expansion function, approved as capital, and judged on lease economics. A CMO arriving at Inditex to negotiate "the marketing budget" would be negotiating over a fraction of the marketing investment.

Before any negotiation, write down every line that changes customer perception or purchase, and next to each one, the name of the person who can cut it. The gap between that list and your formal budget is your real exposure.


Sub-concept 3: how the size gets decided

Companies use four broadly different philosophies to arrive at a marketing number, and most use one without ever naming it.

Affordability works backwards from the profit the company has promised. Marketing gets what is left. Xiaomi turned this into a public commitment: in 2018 Lei Jun pledged that net profit margin on hardware would never exceed 5%, and the company built a model around direct online sales, a fan community and word of mouth rather than heavy advertising, keeping selling and marketing expense to a few percent of revenue. Affordability is usually a weakness. At Xiaomi it was a stated strategy, and the low marketing cost was part of the pricing proposition.

Percentage of revenue fixes marketing at a share of last year's sales or next year's forecast. It is simple, it is stable, and it is procyclical in the worst way: it cuts spend precisely when demand is falling and competitors are going quiet.

Competitive parity sizes the budget against rivals, usually through share of voice. The evidence base here, largely from the IPA databank work of Les Binet and Peter Field, is that brands whose share of voice runs above their share of market tend to gain share, and those below it tend to lose it. That gives the sizing argument an external anchor rather than an internal one.

Objective and task builds from the outcome: what has to happen, what it takes to make it happen, what that costs. It produces the most defensible number and takes the most work.

Overlaying all four is the governance question of whether the base carries forward automatically or has to be rebuilt. Incremental budgeting adjusts last year's number. Zero-based budgeting re-justifies each line from nothing. The next lesson deals with how you actually build under each regime; what matters here is knowing which one your company runs, because it determines whether your job is defending a base or reconstructing one.

Rory Sutherland: Perspective is everything

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Sub-concept 4: what benchmarks can and cannot settle

Gartner's annual CMO Spend Survey is the standard external reference, and Gartner sells research to the marketers it surveys, which is worth stating out loud when you quote it. Its 2023 edition put marketing budgets at an average 9.1% of company revenue, down from 11.0% the year before.

Averages of this kind hide more than they reveal. Coca-Cola spends roughly a tenth of net revenue on advertising alone. Inditex has run at a fraction of one percent. Both are large, successful consumer businesses. The number is a function of the business model, not of ambition.

Use benchmarks for one purpose: to stop bad-faith anchoring. Check what the benchmark counts before you cite it, because if it includes payroll and yours does not, you have just argued yourself down.


Real-world cases

Case 1: Coca-Cola

Coca-Cola's advertising expense ran at roughly $4.2 billion in 2019, was cut to around $2.8 billion in 2020 when the pandemic closed the away-from-home channel, and was rebuilt above $4 billion by 2022. The same period saw the company reduce its portfolio from around 400 master brands to roughly half that. The budget was not simply restored; it was re-pointed at fewer brands with a higher working media share. This is what the object looks like at scale: a total that moved by more than a billion dollars in a year, a mix that changed underneath it, and a bottler system that funds part of the same activity from a separate balance sheet.

Case 2: Inditex

Inditex demonstrates that the boundary of the budget is a strategic choice rather than an accounting fact. Almost nothing on paid advertising, everything on location, store design and rapid product turnover, with new stock arriving twice a week doing the job a campaign calendar does elsewhere. The marketing investment is real and large; it is simply not filed under marketing. Any benchmark comparing Inditex's marketing ratio to a peer's is comparing two different definitions.

Case 3: Xiaomi

Xiaomi built early scale with a community and online direct sales model that kept selling and marketing expense low as a share of revenue. As it pushed into offline retail and premium price tiers, that spend had to rise, because the mechanism that had substituted for advertising (an engaged fan base buying online) does not reach a first-time buyer in a shopping mall. The lesson for budget owners is that the sizing philosophy is tied to the go-to-market model, and when the model changes, the philosophy has to be renegotiated before the number is.

How to Negotiate: The Chris Voss Method

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CMO action items

  • Produce a one-page map of every line that influences customer perception or purchase, with the budget holder named against each, and mark which ones you cannot cut and which ones can be cut without your agreement
  • Calculate your working to non-working ratio for the current year and the two before it, because the trend is a fact you will be asked for and rarely have
  • Write down, in a sentence, which sizing philosophy your company actually uses, then check with finance whether they would describe it the same way
  • Agree with the CFO in writing what the marketing budget includes before the cycle opens, particularly payroll, martech licences and trade spend

Common mistakes that kill results

Mistake 1: negotiating a total you do not control.

Winning an extra 10% on media while sales reallocates trade spend and IT cancels a measurement contract leaves you worse off with a bigger headline number. Know the boundaries of your authority before you argue about the size of it.

Mistake 2: quoting a benchmark you have not read the definition of.

"The industry average is 9%" invites the immediate reply that your company is not the industry. Worse, if the benchmark counts salaries and your budget does not, you have handed over an argument for a cut.

Mistake 3: letting the sizing philosophy be chosen by default.

Where nobody names a philosophy, affordability wins, because it is the one finance applies when no alternative is on the table. The choice between affordability, revenue percentage, share of voice and objective and task is a strategic decision about how the company competes, and it should be made deliberately, in daylight, before anyone puts a number in a spreadsheet.

Resources

  • 🔗
    Gartner CMO Spend Survey 2023

    The definitive annual benchmark for marketing budget as a percentage of revenue, broken down by industry vertical and company size.

  • 🔗
    HubSpot Marketing Statistics Library

    Regularly updated repository of marketing ROI and budget allocation data useful for building evidence-based budget cases.

What to do, from this lesson

These actions are compiled in the role's Playbook.

  • Prepare a consequences document modeling pipeline impact of 25% and 50% cuts
See the full action playbook →